My Bookmarks on Science & Technology, Climate Change, Astrobiology, Genetics, Evolution

May 13, 2010 – Original Source: AFP

PARIS — Evidence for global warming has mounted but public awareness of the threat has shrunk, due to a cold northern winter and finger-pointing at the UN’s climate experts, a top scientist warned Wednesday.

James Hansen, a leading NASA scientist whose testimony to the US Congress in 1988 was a landmark in the history of climate change, said he was worried by “the large gap” in knowledge between specialists and the public, including politicians.

“That gap has increased substantially in the last year,” Hansen told a press conference during a visit to Paris.

“While the science was becoming clearer, the public’s perception became less clear, in part because of the unusually cold winter in both North America and Europe, and in part because of the inappropriate over-emphasis on small minor errors in IPCC documents and because of the so-called Climategate.”

The IPCC — the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — is under fire for several errors that appeared in a key 2007 report.

Its authors have acknowledged the mistakes, but say the overall conclusions of the report, that man-made greenhouse gases are changing the climate, remain solid.

The “Climategate” affair relates to stolen emails exchanged among British scientists that, sceptics said, showed they had ignored evidence that natural, rather than man-made, causes were to blame for climate change.

The scientists have been cleared by a British parliamentary panel.

“The winter was not cold if you look over the whole world: December, January, February was the second warmest in 130 years,” Hansen noted.

“It was cool at mid-latitudes in the northern hemisphere but unusually warm in the Arctic and that has a simple explanation: there is a chaotic variation in the pressure in the Arctic region. But it’s just chaotic variation, there is no reason that it will be repeated.”

He added: “We have to look at the frequency of events. Seven out of the last 10 winters in Europe have been warmer than the long-term average, and eight out of 10 in the United States.

“So the climate dice are being loaded at a rate which is in very close agreement with what was predicted ago a few decades ago based on the expected global warming.”

Hansen is director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, but stressed he was speaking in a private capacity.

He blasted governments for “ignoring… basic scientific facts” by continuing to depend on fossil fuels, build more coal-fired plants and drill for oil in the deep ocean and the Arctic.

And he said that the poor outcome of December’s climate summit in Copenhagen was predictable.

“Frankly, there was a realisation that you can’t have 180 countries making the initial agreement, it has to be the major players. So, Europe, the US and China, and probably India, need to agree that there needs to be a carbon price and then it’s very easy to make that global.”

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Comments on: "‘Climate dice’ now dangerously loaded: leading scientist" (3)

  1. Cowboy said:

    “Evidence for global warming has mounted but public awareness of the threat has shrunk, due to a cold northern winter and finger-pointing at the UN’s climate experts, a top scientist warned Wednesday.

    James Hansen, a leading NASA scientist whose testimony to the US Congress in 1988 was a landmark in the history of climate change, said he was worried by “the large gap” in knowledge between specialists and the public, including politicians.

    “That gap has increased substantially in the last year,” Hansen told a press conference during a visit to Paris.”

    LOL!!!!

    Pretty funny given…

    Climate Scientist Admits No Warming in 15 Years

    http://www.thenewamerican.com/index.php/tech-mainmenu-30/environment/2973-climate-scientist-admits-no-warming-in-15-years

    Global warming? Not in the last fifteen years.

    The concession of this fact by one of the leading advocates of the theory of manmade climate change is the latest development in the rocky post-Climategate world.

    Prof. Phil Jones, the former director of the Climate Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia, was among the scientists who was embarrassed by the Climategate revelations.

    In the aftermath of Climategate, Jones stood as one of the individuals at the very nexus of the scandal.

    As scientists and independent journalists began to demand the data to verify claims of anthropogenic global warming, Jones and the CRU found themselves at the center of undesired attention as it became clear that a release of all the original data would not be forthcoming.

    Actually, it turned out that the CRU destroyed much of the original data. As the Times of London reported,

    The data were gathered from weather stations around the world and then adjusted to take account of variables in the way they were collected. The revised figures were kept, but the originals — stored on paper and magnetic tape — were dumped to save space when the CRU moved to a new building.
    The admission follows the leaking of a thousand private emails sent and received by Professor Phil Jones, the CRU’s director. In them he discusses thwarting climate sceptics seeking access to such data.
    In a statement on its website, the CRU said: “We do not hold the original raw data but only the value-added (quality controlled and homogenised) data.”

    At one point, Jones claimed that some climate data could not be released for independent scientific verification because of “confidentiality agreements”—meanwhile claiming that he could not remember with which governments such agreements had been made.

    Now, Prof. Jones is blaming his poor record keeping for the troubles, and is conceding that the past fifteen years have shown no sign of climate change. According to a Daily Mail report:

    The academic at the centre of the ‘Climategate’ affair, whose raw data is crucial to the theory of climate change, has admitted that he has trouble ‘keeping track’ of the information.
    Colleagues say that the reason Professor Phil Jones has refused Freedom of Information requests is that he may have actually lost the relevant papers.
    Professor Jones told the BBC yesterday there was truth in the observations of colleagues that he lacked organisational skills, that his office was swamped with piles of paper and that his record keeping is ‘not as good as it should be’.
    The data is crucial to the famous ‘hockey stick graph’ used by climate change advocates to support the theory.
    Professor Jones also conceded the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now – suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.
    And he said that for the past 15 years there has been no ‘statistically significant’ warming.

    The notion that the nations of the world gathered in Copenhagen in December of last year to consider treaties which would have fundamentally altered the global economy, and could have ended national sovereignty in any meaningful sense of the term, on account of the contended theory of manmade global warming is unbelievable enough. To now learn that such inexcusable sloppiness regarding the handling of the alleged data which is being invoked to support such actions strains credulity.

    The fiasco known at the “climate change theory” ought to call into question the presumptions of elements of the scientific community which have become accustomed to delivering pronouncements from on high. Credentials are no substitute for science, and the assertion of a theory does not establish that theory as fact.

  2. Cowboy said:

    Global Warming Hoaxer James Hansen Denounced as Fraud by Former Boss

    http://rightwingnews.com/mt331/2009/01/global_warming_hoaxer_james_ha.php

    Theon declared “climate models are useless.” “My own belief concerning anthropogenic climate change is that the models do not realistically simulate the climate system because there are many very important sub-grid scale processes that the models either replicate poorly or completely omit,” Theon explained. “Furthermore, some scientists have manipulated the observed data to justify their model results. In doing so, they neither explain what they have modified in the observations, nor explain how they did it. They have resisted making their work transparent so that it can be replicated independently by other scientists. This is clearly contrary to how science should be done. Thus there is no rational justification for using climate model forecasts to determine public policy,” he added.

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